A rearguard battle for evidence-based justice

Sentencing Council consults the public: that means YOU! Ring any bells? The topic did not make for the most memorable of blogs but it was on an important matter. This was back in December, just after an announcement from the Sentencing Council in the UK that under new draft guidelines sentences for rapists and other sex offenders in England and Wales “could become tougher”, in order “to recognise the long-term psychological harm they cause”.
A three-month public consultation period was announced on the proposals and Heretic TOC suggested that heretics here might like to respond. I don’t know if anyone else bothered but I certainly did, with a 7,000-word submission. That may sound quite lengthy but there were so many issues crying out for critical comment that 70,000 would not have done the task justice. An exercise in futility then? Possibly, although the Sunday Express was scandalized that I had been in a position to influence the Sentencing Council’s predecessor body in a similar exercise ten years ago.
My response this time was both general and specific. So far as the specifics go, I unsurprisingly focused on cases involving children, including indecent images. But I began with a general principle: that the starting point for sentencing should be based on the amount of harm caused, and that the assessment of any such harm should be grounded in scientific evidence, not in mere supposition or public sentiment. By contrast, the Sentencing Council claimed to take harm as their starting point, but instead of taking an objective view of the evidence their consultation document privileges the view of a wholly unrepresentative group of victims. I wrote:

It is stated that “The perspective of victims is central to the Council’s considerations” (p.5). So it should be, but unfortunately this is by no means entirely the case. There are indications that the Council’s guideline recommendations are being driven by an unrepresentative sample of victims. In particular, there is no visible representation at all, absolutely none, for the perspective of adults who, as children, experienced non-coerced sexual encounters with adults and continue to feel positive about such contacts. Is there a compelling reason why such people should even regard themselves as victims? Perhaps not, but in order to obtain a representative sample of whether and to what extent people are harmed by particular categories of offence, it is necessary to consider the whole range of possible responses from great harm through to great benefit. Harm and benefit (if any) need to be identified across this range and specified objectively; measurement of the nature and extent of these outcomes is necessary for a clear view of the issues. This is how a scientific approach to developing evidence-based policy would proceed.
As an example of good practice in this regard a retrospective study of the childhood sexual experiences of 501 women may be cited (Kilpatrick, 1986). The women were asked about their experiences when they were children with another person at least five years older than they were at the time. Questions were asked about their reactions of pleasure, participation, guilt, and conditions such as pressure or force. Response categories contained a full range of possibilities. For the pleasure variable, for instance, the possible response range was very unpleasant, unpleasant, neither pleasant nor unpleasant, pleasant, and very pleasant. At the end of the 13 major questions asked, an opportunity was given for respondents to write open-ended answers that more accurately explained the nature of their experiences (Kilpatrick 1992, pp.48-9).
Kilpatrick’s findings are open to question on the basis that the women were recruited from a series of convenience samples designed to exclude respondents from social agencies such as clinical or offender populations. The important point here, though, is not so much the results as the method i.e. the “full range” approach to assessing the long-term effects of the encounter as perceived by the younger party in adulthood. Nevertheless, one might note that Kilpatrick did indeed report significant positive as well as negative effects. Of the 448 women who had experiences, 28% retrospectively perceived the experiences as having both positive and negative effects on their lives, 27% perceived them as having primarily positive effects and 6% perceived them as having primarily negative effects (Kilpatrick, 1992, p.93).

I focused initially on Kilpatrick because her work is concisely relevant in terms both of its methods and results. Other names perhaps more well known to many heretics were then also brought into play, and I emphasized the well established (but little known outside academia) fact that in cases where coercion was not a factor, the greatest source of harm to children come not from the sexual incident or relationship but from society’s disastrous overreaction to its discovery. This iatrogenic harm, I was at pains to add, includes judicial harshness: children can be traumatized by being forced into giving evidence that betrays an adult partner and sends him to jail. And those who grow up refusing to regard themselves as victims can be victimized by being made to feel corrupted, or even callous. I used a recent example from the media to illustrate this:

Where there is willing involvement, as in the case of children’s willing engagement in …illegal sexual activities, psychological harm should not simply be assumed. Merely by being willing participants, the young people involved clearly demonstrate that they are not disturbed or distressed. What may cause them problems, though, is the aggressive expression of well meaning but misplaced “protective” sentiments: when public discourse, including judicial response, conveys to children the feeling that they really ought to feel disturbed and distressed, and that they must be damaged and corrupted if this is not the case, then harm may well begin to occur. A classic example of the pressure that may be exerted was to be seen recently when a national newspaper columnist chastised those “victims” who say they were not harmed by “abuse”. Deborah Orr wrote in The Guardian, “One still comes across the occasional person who will claim to have been sexually abused as a child without it doing them ‘any harm’. If you are able to dismiss the suffering of others so cavalierly, then I’m afraid that indeed you were harmed.” (Deborah Orr, Jimmy Savile played on our unwillingness to address sexual crime, The Guardian, 12 January 2013). Orr does not explain why simply reporting one’s own feelings necessarily entails dismissing those of other people, whether “cavalierly” or otherwise. Harm resulting from bombastic moralising of this kind will be maximised by fierce judicial treatment of the perpetrators and minimised by a calm, low key, approach that maintains a sense of proportion.

No doubt there will be many submissions calling for higher sentences, and as that is also the clearly expressed preliminary view of the Sentencing Council it is clear which side will win. However, my submission will not, I trust, be the only one recommending a strictly evidence-based approach; and in the UK, fortunately, the judiciary and its advisory bodies are not entirely deaf to reason. We can only hope that the inevitable rise in sentences will not be at the top end of the possibilities so far mooted.
References:
Kilpatrick, Allie C.; Some Correlates of Women’s Childhood Sexual Experiences: A Retrospective Study, Journal of Sex Research 22:2, 221-242 (1986)
Kilpatrick, Allie C. ; Long-Range Effects of Child and Adolescent Sexual Experiences, Lawrence Erlbaum Associates, 1992

0 0 votes
Article Rating
Subscribe
Notify of

8 Comments
Newest
Oldest Most Voted
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments

First, Tom, you presuppose lack of credibility where I dare suggest that just doing it regardless, naively is good basic research should be done, does indeed produce the best results.
Second, I dare suggest further, and as I raised myself, that you remain influenced by Cohen’s ‘deviance’ approach that colours your view as if it were empirically real and not just another construct, when I not only doubt its validity but did in fact bounce it off another separate ‘holiness’ approach in which I was myself involved.
I argue yet again that these ostensibly disparate approaches cover only the two tails, out beyond at least two standard deviations from the norm or 2.5% at most of the general population either way, when the 95% of humanity in between have been ignored entirely.
Perhaps give yourself credit, and in doing so respect more the talent and ability you have attracted to your forum.
And instead of being immobilised by frustration and doubt, just do it.
[TOC adds: I am immobilised by trying to do too much already!]

This ‘harm’ argument is familiar and long-standing, based on evidence or otherwise, though helpful to revisit from time to time.
In a criminal matter harm [actus reum] cannot in any event be presumed; it must be proved beyond reasonable doubt, and further that the accused person caused that harm with malice aforethought [mens rea] must be proved beyond reasonable doubt.
For that reason many ‘sexual offenses’ plainly failing the test of criminality are brought rather in civil action, where in the matter at hand no harm needs even to be considered, merely lack of consent. In civil law this issue of children and sex is a matter of consent, not harm.
What is not addressed anywhere near enough in either case, on the other hand, is the matter of due process in law.
My abiding concern over this business is with ongoing abuse of due process in law by people wanting to accuse other people, and harm other people and ruin their lives and reputations by misrepresenting facts, by influencing witnesses, interfering with evidence, withholding and destroying evidence, and not least conspiring to pervert the course of justice.
Each one of these crimes in itself brings far harsher penalties than any conceivable ‘sexual offense’ would bring if proved.
My question remains, why are these people who commit such crimes not being arrested and charged?
Why the obsession with sex when the entire system of justice is being torn down around our ears?

Very well said, Tom. The so-called “universal rights for children” movement only focused on a child’s right to say “no”. The right to say “yes” was not included. While I truly love the idea of a kid having the right to say no — there most definitely is a case for rightfully saying yes — if he or she truly wants to. Scholarbones.

If we can manage to keep discussion along these lines, keep a steady hand at the tiller, thinking our way intelligently and collaboratively through the morass, I’d be more than happy.
My view of all this, again from the coal face, is that the effect of prohibition is always contrary to what was intended by it. All it does is drive the activity underground where it might reasonably be open and manageable.
Here in Western Australia I am prepared to wager that the average age at ‘loss of virginity’ is currently around 10-12. I grant that two years is a very long period of time for 10-12 year-olds, within a range of 8-14, but you get my drift.
While I don’t know anybody much under age 8 at least consciously having had sex with another person as distinct from merely playing, my view is that those who do not experience sexual engagement with another person until after 17-18 years of age, especially because they are afraid to do so, are the ones who have already suffered long term damage and retarded life-trajectory. When you meet their parents you will invariably see the reason.
I would still like to see studies being done that correlate early sexual activity with precocious achievement.
At present, from so-called ‘deviance’ studies arising from Cohen et alia in sociology, it is assumed that only delinquents engage in early sex, and drugs and all the rest of it, though knowing sociological/criminological method my informed view is that such researchers merely go find what they are looking for.
Likewise, during my Honours seminars in 1988-89, we carried out studies supervised by a lecturer who has since become a Catholic priest, that showed very low sexual activity among college students highly correlated with very high religious faith. Not quite the same thing. Again, we merely found what we were looking for.
In terms of the question posed above on evidence-based justice, the simple fact remains that normative studies derived from the general population have simply not been carried out. All studies to date have been prejudiced and highly selective.
My wager here is that without doubt the Rind meta-analysis would be proved empirically. Data trumps theory – especially against the Yewtree Report it would be open misère.
Now, Tom, you are a journalist, I am not. We could design such a study, but how would we go about publicising it, carrying it out, then propagating the results in the public domain in a way likely to more effectively inform the judiciary?
To wit, if we are going to have an evidence-based justice let’s produce the evidence. If we don’t do it, who will?
[TOC: Interesting, Gill, but please watch the length and don’t deluge me with posts.]

As always, well argued and well written. Peterhoo sums up my feelings as well. jim
[TOC: Cheers!]

I read this post with great interest. You have taken a number of steps here that earn you praise Tom. Sound methodology, an important issue to engaged, an important contribution to put forward. Considering how parts of British society, and let’s be clear, I don’t refer to everyone, have wanted you to be excluded and punished. I admire greatly your ongoing efforts to engage people positively. Given how some societies treat pedophiles it seems unfair to ask these people to do anything, and yet when I see such a person stay socially engaged and make a contribution I am very impressed.
[TOC adds: Many thanks, Peter! I greatly value your appreciation!]

8
0
Would love your thoughts, please comment.x
()
x
Scroll to Top